UFC 250: Main Event Madness | Nunes vs Spencer
Main Event Breakdown
By Jason Paglia
Welp, UFC Fight Night 176 is behind us. Initially, I thought it was a lackluster card that was hard to find value. I was wrong on both accounts. The fights were very entertaining, and the crew from The Sports Keg assaulted the card. Anyone that watched/tailed the Keg FightCast went 9 for 10 for +10.25 units. I believe the guys from Talkin Hands also had a profitable night, and here we are.
UFC matchmaker Mick Maynard put together an excellent card for UFC 250; it’s a stacked from top to bottom with awesome fights, and profitable angles. The main event features my favorite athlete in combat sports, the most celebrated female mixed martial artist of all-time Amanda Nunes. Everyone knows who she is, and everyone knows what she is capable of. A two-division champion that wrecks any woman that has the figurative balls to step in the cage with her.
Apparently, on Saturday night, there is such a woman, and her name is Felicia Spencer. Perhaps the most impressive thing we’ve ever seen Spencer do in the Octagon was surviving three rounds with Cris Cyborg. She lost and got her ass kicked from one end of the cage to the other, but she survived. She is tough as nails and has a rock-solid ground game. OK… That’s enough, let’s do it.
Amanda Nunes (19-4)
Amanda Nunes comes into Saturday the current UFC champion in both the Bantamweight and Featherweight divisions. Her last fight against a fighter who was widely recognized as the best female MMA fighter of all time; Chris Cyborg, took all of 51 seconds for Nunes to shock the world. It didn’t start this way for Amanda Nunes, she fought for low-level promotions early on and amassed a 5-1 record. It was then that Strikeforce MMA took notice, and in January 2011, she made her debut against Julia Budd, where she won by knockout. After Strikeforce, she had a quick stop at Invicta FC, and finally, after years of hard work, she got the callup to the big show. She debuted for the promotion at UFC: 163 versus Sheila Gaff, where again, she would win by TKO. (Do you see a pattern forming yet?)
In her 12 fights in the UFC, she is 11-1, her only loss coming by TKO to Cat Zingano at UFC: 178. She won the Bantamweight Championship from Miesha Tate at UFC: 200, and the Featherweight championship from Cris Cyborg at UFC: 232. In her last fight, she ground a five-round decision against Germaine de Randamie at UFC: 245. Is there anyone that can beat her in this division? Can she defend her championship for the 6th consecutive time this Saturday at UFC: 250?
The BEST of Amanda Nunes
POWER – It is a devastating power for a female fighter. Nunes can knock out half the male roster. It is a beautiful storm of violence.
STRENGTH – She is HUGE for the division. With power and size comes strength.
STRIKING ACCURACY – For a female fighter, her accuracy is incredible. She is a sniper, and it bears out in the numbers. Almost five significant strikes landed per minute is phenomenal, and her strikes land with the utmost consequence.
The WORST of Amanda Nunes
Hmmm….??? – What CON can you say about a fighter that has won 11 of 12 fights in the UFC, destroyed Ronda Rousey, has defended the belt four times already, is a 2 division champion, and knocked out the most feared women’s MMA fighter of the last decade in 51 seconds????? When you figure that out, let me know.
Felicia Spencer (8-1)
Considering that Felicia Spencer has only fought eight times professionally, there is not a ton of info we were able to find on her. What little we did find, I’ll relay to you now. Spencer grew up in Quebec training in two practices of mixed martial arts. Before becoming a professional MMA fighter, she obtained a black belt in both Taekwondo and Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu. In 2015 Spencer made her debut for the Invicta FC promotion.
She won her debut against Rachel Wiley by TKO in round one. By her last fight for the Invicta FC promotion, she had won all five fights and found herself fighting for the vacant Invicta FC featherweight championship against Pam Sorenson. She would go on to win the vacant title by rear-naked choke in round 4. Following the fight, the UFC offered her a multi-fight contract. In May of 2019, Spencer made her debut against prospect Megan Anderson. In an upset, Spencer defeated Anderson in the first round and then found herself with the biggest opportunity of her short MMA career, a fight with Cris Cyborg.
While Spencer didn’t win the fight, she was a game opponent that went the distance with one of the most feared women’s MMA fighters in the history of the sport. Now she steps in the cage as a huge underdog and deservedly so. Can she shock the MMA world on Saturday and beat the greatest of all-time?
WRESTLING – In all eight professional fights, she has had a strong edge in her wrestling top control game. I would consider this a more significant strength if not for the weak competition she has faced.
STRENGTH – She does seem to have a strong advantage in most fights. Again, it is so hard to tell how good Spencer is based on the level of competition.
BRAZILIAN JIU-JITSU – She has found her way to her opponent’s backs often. She has four victories in 9 pro fights, all using a rear-naked choke.
The WORST of Felicia Spencer
STRIKING OFFENSE – It’s absolutely GOD AWFUL.
FIGHT IQ – There are so many styles in the Octagon that she hasn’t seen. So many situations that she hasn’t been in. This will change with experience, but right now, it still isn’t great, but in this fight, will it even matter?
STRIKING DEFENSE – See: Striking Offense
THE UNKNOWN – In the end, there are more things that we don’t know about Felicia Spencer than what we do know. From a betting perspective, that’s a problem.
WHO WIN THIS FIGHT?
This fight is going to be quick. Amanda Spencer has no chance to win this fight. Nunes is the greatest female to ever put the gloves on for a reason. She knows she is fighting someone that literally can’t strike… like at all. The only chance Felicia Spencer has is getting her hands on Nunes and taking her down. Nunes knows this and will keep her distance and strike at mid-range.
The only question I have is, how long can Felicia Spencer last? She went a full three rounds with Cyborg, and that seems impressive. However, if Nunes can take Cyborg out in 1 minute, what chance does Spencer have? The only reason Amanda went five rounds last fight was because she respected de Randamie’s striking. She knew the safe plan was to take her down, in this fight, the opposite is true.
So, how long does Spencer last? You have to lay (-670) to bet Nunes straight. That seems excessive, and that’s even for me. You have two options. 1. You take her by TKO (-180), or 2. You take her to win in round 1 at (+225) and round 2 at (+350). I just can’t see spencer lasting more than 10 minutes with zero offensive & defensive striking. Ten minutes is being kind.
Amanda Nunes by TKO/KO (-180)