Squids Picks with @SquidsPicks: Premier League Match Day 34
By: Cody Gehlhausen (@SquidsPicks)
My 2019-2020 Record:
Watford FC v Newcastle FC
Watford secured a much needed three points last week beating cellar-dwellers Norwich 2-1 at Vicarage Road with a beautiful overhead kick by Danny Welbeck. There is no break for Watford as they sit just three points clear of the relegation zone with a game in hand over Bournemouth who trails the Hornets in that last spot to safety. Now, a win over Norwich is nothing to write home about. Norwich sits bottom of the league, deservedly so, and had lost six straight matches before taking on Watford. Before that match against Norwich, Watford had lost three of the four matches they had played since the restart. My confidence in them remains the same, even though they are coming off the back of a victory. Newcastle United, on the other hand, are a team I have been very high on even before the break back in March. Sure, they were battered by City midweek, but that is what City does to some of these midtable teams in the league. Newcastle has feasted on mid-table and bottom table sides as of late going 2-0-2 previous to the Manchester City debacle. The key for Newcastle is they seem to have found a way to score goals led by the uber-talented Allan Saint-Maximin. He is a tricky wing player who can run at defenders, which is something Newcastle has lacked for ages. Watford has a terrible time in defense, which has been an issue all season, and are going to have to stalwart a Newcastle team that has ten goals in five matches since the restart. I am shocked that they are massive dogs in this one at +360. In my opinion, the best play is to take them in a double chance. All we need is a Newcastle draw to cash our ticket.
My Play: Newcastle +1/2 +108
Sheffield United v Chelsea
A dream season for Sheffield United hit a few bumps in the road since play resumed just a few weeks ago. The Blades picked up only one point over their first three matches in the Premier League, but slowly, they have once again found the form that they have grown to know all season long with a marquee win over Tottenham followed by another versus Wolves. Most importantly for us, Sheffield United have laced up their scoring boots and found the back of the net in each of their last three matches. Chelsea has been exceptional since the resumption of football and has four of the five matches they have played, with their sole loss against a weak West Ham side last week. It is quite strange how even with no fans in the stadiums, Chelsea still manages to be secure at the back at home, but on the road, they are as calamitous as they’ve been all season long. For some reason, I cannot quite understand; when they leave Stamford Bridge, they seem to fall apart at the back. I do not trust their central defenders to stay organized and cover for each other. It seems they constantly rotate out their center halves and cannot find a mix that works. With Chelsea traveling to Bramall Lane, I see more of the same on the cards here.
My Play: BTTS Yes -108
Manchester United v Southampton
United have been the best team in the Premier League since February. I cannot recall a single player transfer having as much as an impact as Bruno Fernandes. We all saw the talent, but his best asset is his leadership, which United lacked. Since his arrival, they have not lost a Premier League match since January, that’s ten straight matches and won seven of them. Ole Gunnar Solskjaer has his men scoring at will. Mason Greenwood has been a revelation for the Red Devils. He’s an eighteen-year-old forward who, at that age, is arguably the most two-footed player in the Premiership. Just look at the goal he scored a few days ago at Villa Park. He hit an absolute shit pinger into the top corner with his weak foot. United are solid at the back but do look a bit out of sorts at times. Southampton is a side that has found their form again recently. Danny Ings is doing Danny Ings things netting goals in abundance once again. He sits at third in the Premier League in goals, reeling in Vardy for the Golden Boot. Southampton has been much more creative in their midfield building the attack which has paid dividends for Ralph Hassenhuttl’s men offensively, and I think that continues into the weekend.
My Play: BTTS & Over 2.5 Goals +135
Only two plays so far for the weekend slate, but make sure to follow me on twitter @squidspicks for pre-match plays after lineups drop. If you are interested in how I think the other matches will go, feel free to reach out.