Eduardo’s NBA Picks: Warriors vs Clippers

Written by on January 10, 2020

Warriors vs. Clippers NBA Pick

Paul George will not play for the Los Angeles Clippers when they host the Golden State Warriors on Friday night. Does that make the Warriors the right NBA pick?


Golden State Warriors (9-30) vs. Los Angeles Clippers (26-12)

Friday, January 10 at 10:30 PM ET, STAPLES Center

 

Warriors Lose Sixth Straight 

The Warriors are reeling, at 9-30 they have the worst record in the Western Conference and they have lost their last six games, including a 107-98 home setback against the Bucks.

Alec Burks had 19 points and Glenn Robinson III and Damion Lee added 15 points apiece against the Bucks but they still lost their third in a row at home.

Willie Cauley-Stein scored 10 points with 11 rebounds and Draymond Green (minus-2.5 Offensive Box Plus/Minus) was back in the lineup after sitting out Monday’s 111-98 road loss against the Kings with a sprained right ankle. He had just five points on 1 of 7 shooting, eight rebounds and eight assists.

The Warriors need more from Green on offense, he has played well on defense (plus-2.0 Defensive Box Plus/Minus) but he’s struggled with his shot all season long and he

Bench play can make a big difference for the Warriors. Their reserves scored 46 points against the Bucks and they have scored at least 43 in four straight games, averaging 53 over that span. Rookie Alen Smailagic had a career-high 10 points last Wednesday.

PG13 Out

Clippers star forward Paul George (plus-3.3​Offensive Box Plus/Minus) won’t play against the Warriors due to a hamstring injury.

ESPN’s Ohm Youngmisuk reported that George is dealing with a strained left hamstring.

George originally suffered the injury during a January 2 126-112 win against the Pistons. He sat out the team’s next game on January 4, a 140-114 home loss against the Grizzlies, before playing 26 minutes in a 135-132 win against the Knicks on Sunday.

The six-time All-Star joined the Clippers in a July trade from the Thunder, just when the team signed Kawhi Leonard to give them one of the NBA’s best duos.

PG13 is averaging 23.5 points, 6.0 rebounds and 3.7 assists in 30.7 minutes over 26 games this season.

He didn’t make his Clippers debut until mid-November as he was completing his recovery from offseason shoulder surgeries. The 29-year-old hadn’t missed more than seven games in a season since 2014-15. Back then he was limited to six games because of a serious leg injury.

With the Clippers already heading toward a playoff berth in the Western Conference, they can afford to play it safe with KawhiLeonard and Paul George but the more they are on the floor together, the better their playoff seed can be.

 

Betting Trends and Prediction

The Golden State Warriors are:

4-0 ATS in their last four Friday games

4-1 ATS in their last five road games against a team with a winning home record

6-2 ATS in their last eight games after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game

 

The Los Angeles Clippers are:

1-4 ATS in their last five games as a home favorite

1-4 ATS in their last five home games

1-5 ATS in their last six games following a straight up win

1-7 ATS in their last eight Friday games

The Clippers will use a committee approach to fill George’s void against the Warriors. Maurice Harkless (minus-1.2 Offensive Box Plus/Minus), Rodney McGruder (minus-2.1 Offensive Box Plus/Minus), Jerome Robinson (minus-4.7 Offensive Box Plus/Minus) and Derrick Walton Jr. (minus-0.2 Offensive Box Plus/Minus) will see an uptick in playing time.

D’Angelo Russell has missed the last five games for the Warriors with a shoulder injury. He returned to practice Tuesday and is focusing on strengthening the shoulder.

“I’m hoping he will play next game, but [he is] day-to-day,”Warriors head coach Steve Kerr told Logan Murdock of NBC Sports Bay Area when asked about Russell’s status against the Clippers.

Russell (plus-4.7 Offensive Box Plus/Minus) has been their best player this season and if he’s ready to go then you have to take the Warriors getting so many points. I would even bet them at +14 just because Paul George will not play.

NBA Pick: Warriors +14 (-105) at Heritage


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