Clippers vs. Celtics NBA Pick
Which team could have some value and beat the NBA odds when the Los Angeles Clippers visit the Boston Celtics in the last game before the All-Star break?
Los Angeles Clippers (37-17) vs. Boston Celtics (37-16)
Thursday, February 13 at 8:00 PM ET (TNT), TD Garden
Clippers Are Biggest Winners at NBA Trade Deadline?
The Clippers and Lakers were two of the contenders that were after Knicks forward Marcus Morris (plus-1.4 Offensive Box Plus/Minus). The Clippers were able to trade for Morris and keep Landry Shamet (plus-1.3 Offensive Box Plus/Minus). This move should tip the scales in favor of the Clippers once the playoffs start.
Morris was phenomenal for the Knicks. He led the team with a career-high 19.6 points and also averaged 5.4 rebounds and shot 44.2 percent from the field and a career-best 43.9 percent from beyond the arc in 32.3 minutes over 43 games.
Clippers and Celtics Coming Off Losses
The Clippers lost 110-103 against the 76ers on Tuesday. Kawhi Leonard led the Clippers with 30 points and Landry Shamet added 19 against his former team but as head coach Doc Rivers said, they “didn’t play with any continuity offensively.” The 76ers opened the second half with a 16-5 run and never looked back.
The Celtics saw their seven-game winning streak end with a 116-105 road loss against the Rockets last Tuesday. James Harden and Russell Westbrook combined for 78 points and the Celtics turned the ball over 18 times and were just 20-for-25 at the free-throw line while the Rockets made 37 of their 42 attempts at the charity stripe. Gordon Hayward had 20 points for the Celtics, Jaylen Brown scored 19 and Jayson Tatum added 15 on 5-for-15 from the field.
Jaylen Brown and Patrick Beverley Possibly Out
The first spreads for Thursday’s game hit the board on Wednesday afternoon and there might be some value with the Celtics (31-20-2 ATS) as 1.5-point home favorites over the Clippers (29-25 ATS). FiveThirtyEight projected the Celtics as 2.5-point favorites at the TD Garden. The Celtics did lose their last three games ATS and there’s only one point between the projection from FiveThirtyEight and the actual odds, so I can just have Boston -1.5 at home as a slight lean, not an NBA pick.
For the Celtics to get the win, Jaylen Brown (plus-1.1 Offensive Box Plus/Minus) would have to play. Brown is probable for the C’s because he suffered a left calf contusion on Tuesday but he might be ready to go. The same can’t be said for Patrick Beverley (plus-3.9 Box Plus/Minus), who is still recovering from a groin injury and might be out against the Celtics. If I were you, I would wait until shootaround if you are planning to bet aside.
Marcus Morris is the X-Factor
Marcus Morris was with the Celtics for two years before joining the Knicks in the offseason. Does he have valuable information against them? Morris has struggled on offense in two games with the Clippers, shooting just 41.7 percent from the field and 30.0 percent from beyond the arc, so size those bets appropriately.
Betting Trends and Prediction
The Los Angeles Clippers are:
6-0 ATS in their last six games following an ATS loss
24-7 ATS in their last 31 games following a straight-up loss
8-3 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game
7-3 ATS in their last 10 road games against a team with a winning home record
13-6 ATS in their last 19 games playing on 1 day of rest
The Boston Celtics are:
2-6 ATS in the last eight meetings
1-5 ATS in the last six meetings in Boston
I will take a shot with the Clippers, they need to go to the All-Star break with momentum and Paul George won’t go 3-for-15 from the field for just 11 points like he did in Philadelphia. Look for PG13 to have a bounce-back game.