Heat vs. Kings NBA Pick
The Sacramento Kings host the new-look Miami Heat on Friday night. Can the Kings beat the NBA odds or should we back the Heat or play the total?
Miami Heat (34-16) vs. Sacramento Kings (19-31)
Friday, February 7 at 10:00 PM ET, Golden 1 Center
The NBA odds for this game finally came out and the Kings are 1-point favorites at most online sportsbooks. The total for this game has been set at 219.5 at most shops but we found it at 221 at Intertops, which is very tempting to say the least, considering all the roster moves that the Heat made and the fact that they’re dealing with key injuries.
Andre is Back
The Heat made a significant move. This was their trade with the Grizzlies:
Heat: Andre Iguodala, Jae Crowder, Solomon Hill
Grizzlies: Justise Winslow, James Johnson, Dion Waiters
Iguodala agreed to the trade to South Beach and signed a two-year, $30 million extension.
The Warriors sent Iguodala to the Grizzlies along with a protected first round pick in 2024 (protected 1-4), 2025 (protected 1) and 2026 unprotected in the offseason. The three-time NBA champion expressed that he wanted to end his career on a contender. He spent six years with the Warriors and had a lot of success. In addition to winning three championships he was named NBA Finals MVP in 2015. The Grizzlies didn’t agree to buy him out because they knew they could get something in return for him, which they did.
This made Iguodala sat out due to a grievance over the Grizzlies failing to trade him again or buy him out.
As for the impact of this trade on Friday’s game, we are probably not going to see Andre Iguodala, Jae Crowder or Solomon Hill suit up. As for Justise Winslow, James Johnson, Dion Waiters, they were not playing much and their loss won’t be felt tonight.
The Kings made a deal of their own and it helps our case for an Under:
Kings: Jabari Parker, Alex Len
Hawks: Dewayne Dedmon
Jabari Parker and Alex Len are not likely to play either. The big takeaway is that Dewayne Dedmon (minus-5.2 Box Plus/Minus) is no longer with the Kings. Dedmon never fit in Sacramento and going back to Atlanta can help his career and benefit the Kings at both ends of the court tonight.
Now that we went over the trades, the Heat’s depth chart tonight is concerning. Jimmy Butler (plus-5.6 Box Plus/Minus) left Wednesday’s 128-111 loss against the Clippers with a strained right shoulder and he is questionable to face the Kings. He will undergo an MRI on his shoulder on Friday but the Heat don’t believe it’s a serious injury. The Heat’s offensive volume will be tested because rookie Tyler Herro (ankle) remains out and starting power forward Meyers Leonard (ankle) won’t be back for at least a few weeks.
The Under is 5-2 in Sacramento’s last seven Friday games. The Kings are playing well as of late, winning four of their last six games, including a 113-109 win against the Timberwolves last Monday. De’Aaron Fox led the way with 31 points and five assists and Bogdan Bogdanovic added 23 points and was 4-for-5 from beyond the arc. Buddy Hield also stepped, adding 16 points in 20 minutes off the bench and he is averaging 20.6 points in 30.4 minutes over his last 10 games.
Neither team is particularly strong on defense but rosters will be particularly thin on Friday.