A Soccer Selection for Tuesday 7/7/20: Lecce vs. Lazio
By Jeff “Big Man On Campus” Nadu (@JeffNadu)
Well, we are back for just a two-match card for Tuesday, and I have one selection.
On Saturday, I faded Lecce as I laid the goal with Sassuolo in a rout. On Tuesday, I’m laying the -1 (-130) with Lazio.
Lazio is an exciting side. They sit in 2nd currently in Serie A behind front runner Juventus. They are off a rare defeat Saturday where the got crushed by AC Milan 3-0. Keep in mind in the match, they were virtual without any goal scorers. Lazio leading striker Ciro Immobile and other goal threat Felipe Caicedo return after being suspended for one game after accumulating too many yellow cards. Getting them back in this match is huge because they now have plenty of potency upfront and can return to the machine they always are. Both players account for 37 for Lazio’s 66 goals on the season.
One other thing I think the score Saturday against Milan may have shown was that Lazio was blown out, but 2 of the goals were somewhat random. One was just a terrific top-shelf goal, and the other was after a brutal handball penalty. Lazio has a terrific defense that’s second in the league in goals allowed. I’d have to expect a significant response here from them.
In Tuesday’s match against Lecce, Lazio should bounce back in a big way. Lecce is floundering right now. They have given up a league-high 70 goals and have given up 25 over the last six games. They are shocking at the back and are primed to get beat up just like they did against Sassuolo.
One thing I find interesting about Lecce is that they have been decent going forward. Over the last eight games, they have found the back of the net in 6 of them; however, in the two, they didn’t both were against top 5 sides in Roma and Juventus. To me, this proves that they struggle to break down good sides. Also, keep in mind 3 of the last four goals Lecce has scored over the previous three games have come from the penalty spot showing also their inability to create quality going forward.
Lazio bounces back in a big way off a loss against a side that is giving up goals for fun as they welcome their top 2 strikers back. This one feels like 3-0 3-1 something like that.
PICK: LAZIO -1 (-130)
SCORE PREDICTION: 3-1
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