College football will be back before we know. We hope. Obviously there are a lot of things going on in the world right now, but I’m hopeful we get a season. Win totals aren’t the end all be all for me when it comes to futures wagering, but here’s a couple gems I found.
Memphis OVER 9.5 wins (+125): 17 seniors are gone and head coach Mike Norvell heads to Florida State. So, most people would think rebound season for the Tigers. Not me. I really like this bet. Brady White is back to run an offense that as usual was on fire last year. Gainwell is back at running back and they maintain a big time receiver in Damonte Coxie. I love the move they made to bring in Mike Macyntre at defensive coordinator, he did a bang up job in his one year at Ole Miss. They need to get tougher on defense at Memphis. While there are some tough road games, I still look at this group as one of the strongest teams in the AAC. 10 wins surely seems attainable. I made them a favorite in every game.
Nevada OVER 6.5 wins (-145): I was pretty high last year on Nevada, as they went from pistol air raid to more traditional involving bruising RB Toa Taua. They struggled out of the game including a 77-6 embarrassment to mighty Oregon. However finished the season, winning 3 of 4. This year might be Norvell’s best team in a long time. Carson Strong is back at QB and has another year under the leadership of Norvell. He also will have his top 2 targets back at WR. This offense should hum. Looking at the schedule, I’m not overly concerned with the road schedule and I have them as a favorite in 8 of their games. They have seen 7 wins in the last 2 seasons, they make it 3 in 2020.
East Carolina UNDER 3.5 (-130): The Mike Houston era didn’t go exactly how i thought it would last year, but that generally happens with a new coach and regime. This year having a full year with the Pirates, I expect things to get better, but how much better? They won 4 games last season but I think it’s important to mention they had 3 non D1 teams on the schedule. This year, just one. Holten Ahlers returns and even though he was a bit skiddish at times, I expect a more poised QB this season. His top RB Darius Pinnix is back and they return mostly all of the offensive talent from last years team. But is this talent good enough to compete and make strides. I’m not so sure, I don’t see the wholesale changes defensively either. Looking at the schedule this is a tough non conference schedule with Marshall, South Carolina and a road game at GA State. They don’t get to play UConn which hurts as well, a team they can beat and had last season. All in all this is a conference that gets tougher and tougher yearly, and I don’t see the layups a struggling team needs to be effective and win games. Could be another tough year for the Pirates.